Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.248643 0.287383 0.331467 0.385616 0.450703 0.526877 0.623443
2025-09-28 0.187196 0.236334 0.298591 0.384425 0.501534 0.658469 0.889435
2025-10-05 0.156308 0.210329 0.284392 0.395859 0.563879 0.815398 1.235958
2025-10-12 0.135027 0.190885 0.272351 0.403925 0.619305 0.973701 1.637421
2025-10-19 0.119333 0.175694 0.262236 0.410649 0.671675 1.139109 2.111509
2025-10-26 0.108403 0.165421 0.257078 0.423048 0.735015 1.340414 2.736644
2025-11-02 0.098103 0.154317 0.248287 0.426674 0.782299 1.524539 3.409683
2025-11-09 0.089113 0.143953 0.238848 0.426774 0.822044 1.704858 4.164257
2025-11-16 0.081069 0.134058 0.228598 0.423059 0.852536 1.874072 4.982943
2025-11-23 0.073804 0.124589 0.217692 0.415831 0.873328 2.026940 5.846354
2025-11-30 0.069752 0.120419 0.216105 0.427556 0.940755 2.324138 7.381413
2025-12-07 0.064084 0.112563 0.206246 0.419470 0.957867 2.489630 8.570388
2025-12-14 0.060094 0.107575 0.201688 0.423046 1.007517 2.776633 10.517412
2025-12-21 0.056083 0.102131 0.195531 0.421932 1.045052 3.045029 12.666774
2025-12-28 0.053660 0.099586 0.195150 0.434764 1.126107 3.500977 16.299545
2026-01-04 0.051156 0.096592 0.193384 0.443800 1.199062 3.968066 20.670650
2026-01-11 0.048768 0.093585 0.191187 0.451329 1.270123 4.470085 26.113394
2026-01-18 0.046998 0.091704 0.191318 0.465217 1.367206 5.144492 34.195989
2026-01-25 0.044761 0.088580 0.188134 0.469280 1.432239 5.719425 42.829889
2026-02-01 0.042489 0.085163 0.183839 0.469393 1.483640 6.266987 52.730569
2026-02-08 0.040182 0.081457 0.178415 0.465229 1.518181 6.755818 63.562924
2026-02-15 0.037871 0.077543 0.172047 0.457133 1.535336 7.166199 74.935736
2026-02-22 0.036767 0.076329 0.172408 0.470269 1.644998 8.223701 100.684140